Cast-iron condominium, 1883

The Franklin Loft

Tribeca, Manhattan·$4,850,000·3 bed, 2.5 bath·2,450 sq ft

Pass at this price

3.0% a year over 10 years (-1.0% after tax), with $12,277 a month to carry from year one.

Confidence: High
Net yield2.6%

Year-one rent after 1 month vacant, less taxes, charges, insurance, management and upkeep, divided by the price.

Cash on cash-10.4%

Year-one cash after the mortgage, divided by the $1,412,056 you put in (deposit plus $199,556 of buying costs).

IRR, 10 years3.0%

The annual return that equates your cash in with every year's cash flow and the sale proceeds after 6.5% selling costs. Values grow 3.6% a year.

IRR after tax-1.0%

Rental profit taxed at 45% after interest and depreciation; the gain at sale at 33%, including recapture. General illustration, not tax advice.

Total return48%

Every dollar of cash flow plus the net sale, less what you put in, as a share of what you put in.

Break-even rent$33,901/mo

The monthly rent at which year one covers the mortgage ($22,634/mo at 6.35%) and every running cost.

True monthly cost of owning$34,752Interest, taxes, charges, upkeep and what your deposit would earn elsewhere
Renting the equivalent$19,500From comparable leases nearby
Renting saves$15,252/mo
ScenarioAssumptions move every figure above
Stress test
Projected wealth from The Franklin Loft: our case against a downside of rates up a point, a month more vacancy and growth two points lower-1,000k-500k0k500k1,000k1,500kY0Y1Y2Y3Y4Y5Y6Y7Y8Y9Y10
Our caseDownside
Year by year
YearRentNet operating incomeMortgageCash flowValueLoan
1$214,500$124,285$271,606−$147,321$5,024,600$3,595,672
2$220,935$128,014$271,606−$143,592$5,205,486$3,551,109
3$227,563$131,854$271,606−$139,752$5,392,883$3,503,633
4$234,390$135,810$271,606−$135,796$5,587,027$3,453,052
5$241,422$139,884$271,606−$131,722$5,788,160$3,399,165
6$248,664$144,080$271,606−$127,526$5,996,534$3,341,754
7$256,124$148,403$271,606−$123,203$6,212,409$3,280,590
8$263,808$152,855$271,606−$118,751$6,436,056$3,215,426
9$271,722$157,441$271,606−$114,165$6,667,754$3,146,003
10$279,874$162,164$271,606−$109,442$6,907,793$3,072,040